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Bitcoin: Sell vs. Borrow - Why Smart Bitcoiners Never Sell

A data-driven comparison of selling Bitcoin versus borrowing against it for liquidity

Marius
Marius
4/23/2025
data-analysishodlborrowing
Bitcoin: Sell vs. Borrow - Why Smart Bitcoiners Never Sell

Should you sell your Bitcoin when you need cash? Or is there a smarter way?

Let's look at the data.

The Cost of Selling

When you sell Bitcoin, you face:

  1. Capital gains tax - 15-20% (or more) depending on jurisdiction
  2. Lost upside - If BTC appreciates, you miss out
  3. Timing risk - You might sell at a local bottom
  4. Re-entry costs - Buying back means fees and potentially higher prices

The Borrowing Alternative

When you borrow against Bitcoin:

  1. No tax event - Loans aren't taxable income
  2. Keep exposure - Your BTC appreciates while collateralized
  3. Flexible timing - Repay when it suits you
  4. Keep your sats - They come back when you repay

Historical Analysis

Looking at Bitcoin's history:

ScenarioSellBorrow
BTC goes up 50%Miss gainsKeep gains
BTC goes down 20%Avoided lossMay need to add collateral
BTC stays flatTaxed anywayOnly pay interest

In most scenarios, borrowing outperforms selling - especially during bull markets.

When Borrowing Makes Sense

  • You need short-term liquidity
  • You're bullish on Bitcoin long-term
  • You want to avoid triggering taxes
  • You have a plan to repay

Try It Yourself

Use our Sell vs Borrow Calculator to see the numbers for your specific situation.

Ready to borrow instead of sell? Get started.